Wyoming — 2026 schedule & results record 5-3 · model's picks 6-1 so far
Proj rating -8.6 · SOS -9.7 · Mean wins 5.8 · Picked 6-6 · Vegas 5.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sat 09/05 | Colorado State | away | L 13–35 | +2.75 ✗ | -0.2 | 49% | L ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Northern Colorado | home | W 21–13 | -23.5 ✗ | +22.3 | 90% | W ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Central Michigan | away | L 10–24 | -1.75 ✗ | -4.4 | 40% | L ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Hawai'i | home | W 27–10 | +2.25 ✓ | -3.5 | 42% | L ✗ | |
| 5 | Sat 10/03 | North Dakota State | away | L 0–28 | +17.25 ✗ | — | — | — | |
| 6 | Fri 10/09 | San José State | away | W 16–13 | +4.25 ✓ | +4.3 | 60% | W ✓ |
Wyoming +6.5 · WIN +17 |
| 7 | Sat 10/17 | Northern Illinois | home | W 41–23 | -7.5 ✓ | +3.6 | 58% | W ✓ | |
| 8 | Fri 10/23 | Air Force | home | W 28–14 | +7 ✓ | +1.7 | 54% | W ✓ |
Air Force -5 · LOSS -20 |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | UNLV | away | — | — | -8.2 | 32% | L | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | UTEP | away | — | — | +2.0 | 56% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | New Mexico | home | — | — | +0.1 | 51% | W | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | UConn | home | — | — | -2.6 | 45% | L |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.