Delaware — 2026 schedule & results record 3-4 · model's picks 5-2 so far
Proj rating -10.2 · SOS -8.3 · Mean wins 5.7 · Picked 8-4 · Vegas 6.5
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Site | Result | Line / ATS | Model | Win prob | Pick | My bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Thu 09/03 | Merrimack | home | W 42–7 | -31.5 ✓ | +20.7 | 89% | W ✓ | |
| 2 | Sat 09/12 | Vanderbilt | away | L 26–35 | +20.75 ✓ | -24.5 | 7% | L ✓ | |
| 3 | Sat 09/19 | Coastal Carolina | home | W 22–14 | -5 ✓ | +4.7 | 62% | W ✓ | |
| 4 | Sat 09/26 | Virginia | away | L 3–42 | +19.75 ✗ | -19.8 | 12% | L ✓ | |
| 5 | Fri 10/02 | Liberty | home | L 14–30 | +7 ✗ | +0.8 | 52% | W ✗ |
Liberty -7 · WIN +18 |
| 7 | Tue 10/13 | Middle Tennessee | away | L 30–33 | -1.25 ✗ | +0.6 | 51% | W ✗ |
Delaware -2.5 · LOSS -20 |
| 8 | Tue 10/20 | Missouri State | home | W 61–38 | -3 ✓ | +5.1 | 62% | W ✓ |
Delaware +0 · WIN +20 Delaware -3 · WIN +27 |
| 9 | Tue 10/27 | Western Kentucky | away | — | +1.25 | -12.0 | 23% | L | |
| 10 | Sat 11/07 | Kennesaw State | away | — | — | -0.2 | 50% | L | |
| 11 | Sat 11/14 | Florida International | home | — | — | +0.3 | 51% | W | |
| 12 | Sat 11/21 | New Mexico State | away | — | — | +1.5 | 54% | W | |
| 13 | Sat 11/28 | Jacksonville State | home | — | — | +1.0 | 52% | W |
Picked counts every game the model favors as a win. Mean wins is the average over 10,000 simulated seasons — a team favored 60/40 in five games wins about three of them, not five, which is why Picked runs higher than Mean wins for good teams (and lower for bad ones). Compare Mean wins to Vegas; use this page to see where the wins come from.